After
setting up the objectives, the next step in planning is making planning
premises. It is well known that planning is a forecasting activity which deals
about the future and forecasting is based on past data as well as future
assumptions. These assumptions are termed as ‘premises’.
A plan
is decided on some assumptions regarding the internal as well as the external
factors of the business, these assumptions are known as premises and are very
essential for a plan. All these assumptions are made on the basis of collected
data and thus data collection and analysis for forecasting also plays a vital
role in the overall success of the planning process.
Establishing
premises simply means making assumptions about the alternative options. It
involves collection of data and its analysis to prepare a forecast. These
premises pinpoint the circumstances, conditions, factors, limitations,
resources, problems, etc. with which the planning is to be worked out. It lays
down the basic periphery for the final plan.
To
understand better let’s take an example, ‘Mr. X, manager of XYZ company is
responsible for making the organizational plan. He finalized a plan and
implemented it with an assumption that the production cost will rise 5% due to
increase in the cost of materials. Before making this assumption he has
collected data from the material suppliers and other sources and analyzed it
carefully. Everything is working well however, after a few months the
production costs increased about 7%. Now, Mr. X. have two options- first is to
modify the plan accordingly to reduce cost for the upcoming months, second to
bear the additional cost.’ This
situation of XYZ company may have arisen because of the inaccuracy of the data,
incorrect analysis, erroneous interpretation of data, unsuitable assumptions,
etc. This example clearly depicts the importance of assumptions in the success
of planning thus this step should be considered important and premises must be
established carefully.
Further,
planning premises can be categorized as:
Internal
Premises: These are the assumptions made for internal
factors like land, labor, policy, management, cost, etc.
External
Premises: These are the assumptions made for external
factors like government policies, rules and regulations, competition, business
environment, etc.
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